QUARTERLY OUTLOOK ON MONETARY, BANKING, AND PAYMENT SYSTEM IN INDONESIA: QUARTER I, 2016

Abstract

The growth of domestic economy in Indonesia is lower than forecasted in first quarter of 2016.
However, the economy is expected to revive and will grow higher in the next quarter, with a well maintained financial system stability. The limited growth of government consumption as well as private investment are the main reason for the slower growth in this quarter, eventhough the government spending on capital goods accelerates. The growth of private consumption remains high with reasonable price movement. With the increase of several commodities’ export, the external performance of export in aggregate also increased. On the other hand, the financial system stability was stable due to viable banking system and better financial market performance. The stability of Rupiah was well maintained, supported by positive expectation on domestic economy and the lower risk of the global financial market.