MODEL KEBIJAKAN MONETER DALAM PEREKONOMIAN TERBUKA UNTUK INDONESIA

  • Umar Juoro

Abstract

This paper analyze the impact of foreign policy (the Fed) on Indonesia’s monetary economy, focusing on the attention is also to the fund rate. An empirical model of VAR (Vector Auto Regression) is developed to capture the impact of increase in fund rate to Indonesia’s monetary sector. The system of equations covers central bank policy rate, lending rate, inflation, real effective rate (REER), and the output growth. The result shows that the increase of fund rate tended to push Bank Indonesia to increase his policy rate, hence the lending rate. On the other side, positive shock of foreign fund rate lower inflation and output growth, and appreciate the Real Effective Exchange Rate with lag. Keyword: monetary policy, lending rate, inflation, exchange rate.
JEL Classification: E52, F41

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Author Biography

Umar Juoro
Author is Chairman of Supervisory Board of Bank Indonesia (BSBI) and is Senior Economist at CIDES (Center for Information and
Development Studies)

References

Bank Indonesia, 2013, Statistik Ekonomi dan Keuangan Indonesia, dalam http://www. bi.go.id/web/id/Statisti /Statistik+Ekonomi+dan+Keuangan+Indonesia/Versi+HTML/ Sektor+Moneter/, diakses 20 September 2013

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Published
2014-02-04
How to Cite
Juoro, U. (2014). MODEL KEBIJAKAN MONETER DALAM PEREKONOMIAN TERBUKA UNTUK INDONESIA. Buletin Ekonomi Moneter Dan Perbankan, 16(1), 81-97. https://doi.org/10.21098/bemp.v16i1.40
Section
Articles